Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.189890 0.214268 0.240024 0.269206 0.301296 0.335449 0.374490
2025-06-15 0.160181 0.193518 0.230709 0.275078 0.326362 0.383566 0.451979
2025-06-22 0.135633 0.174051 0.218997 0.275041 0.342598 0.420931 0.518123
2025-06-29 0.116719 0.158248 0.208964 0.274734 0.356974 0.455570 0.581783
2025-07-06 0.101707 0.145109 0.200243 0.274327 0.370042 0.488216 0.643656
2025-07-13 0.091047 0.136118 0.195462 0.277783 0.387265 0.525957 0.712732
2025-07-20 0.083615 0.130472 0.194206 0.285177 0.409310 0.570150 0.791234
2025-07-27 0.075539 0.122938 0.189489 0.287135 0.423682 0.604428 0.857697
2025-08-03 0.069967 0.118363 0.188312 0.293530 0.443926 0.646809 0.935949
2025-08-10 0.065419 0.114792 0.188122 0.301005 0.465648 0.691629 1.018674
2025-08-17 0.059041 0.107696 0.182056 0.299316 0.473951 0.717937 1.076614
2025-08-24 0.053709 0.101705 0.177100 0.298744 0.483499 0.745942 1.137403
2025-08-31 0.048605 0.095721 0.171875 0.297674 0.492612 0.774215 1.200460
2025-09-07 0.045593 0.092993 0.171575 0.304102 0.513092 0.819432 1.289017
2025-09-14 0.041632 0.088171 0.167438 0.304085 0.523566 0.850208 1.357520
2025-09-21 0.038031 0.083612 0.163343 0.303764 0.533357 0.880086 1.425398
2025-09-28 0.034780 0.079353 0.159391 0.303328 0.542762 0.909482 1.493208
2025-10-05 0.032497 0.076714 0.158041 0.307091 0.558904 0.949473 1.577853
2025-10-12 0.031030 0.075545 0.159202 0.315133 0.582218 1.001103 1.681405
2025-10-19 0.028866 0.072712 0.157082 0.317262 0.595739 1.037750 1.762888
2025-10-26 0.027501 0.071414 0.157706 0.324213 0.617487 1.087868 1.866337
2025-11-02 0.026372 0.070505 0.158980 0.332334 0.641435 1.142066 1.977392
2025-11-09 0.024185 0.067005 0.154955 0.330500 0.648146 1.168652 2.045625